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Description

This essay applies a data-driven and human-centric methodology to examine resiliency and resistance aspects in the Islamic Republic of Iran. It applies a four-phase process to analyze state resiliency, assess resistance to governance, identify various resistance movements, and provide possible options for an external actor to influence Iran's stability or to support resistance to the Islamic Republic. The methodologies utilized in this essay were previously published by Small Wars and Insurgencies and Expeditions with the Marine Corps University Press. In analyzing Iran, the data finds the Islamic Republic is a fragile regime governing a state with multiple and deep societal divisions. Resistance in Iran has great potential but external support to the Islamic State also has potential. Support for a reform movement akin to the Green Path of Hope could prove decisive.

Publication Date

2024

Keywords

resistance, resilience, irregular warfare, Iran, Islamic Republic

DOI

https://doi.org/10.5038/TMLD7257

A 2024 Guide to Assessing: Resiliency and Resistance in Iran

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