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Description

This brief is guided by three central questions: to what extent can U.S. pressure succeed in dismantling Lebanese Hezbollah’s military structure, under what conditions, and with what risks if the strategy fails or backfires? Hezbollah is currently experiencing an unprecedented moment of vulnerability, as the traditional pillars of its power-deterrence, political alliances, finances, and its Shiite base have been eroded by Israeli strikes and shifting dynamics within Lebanon. At the same time, Lebanon’s leadership has shown increasing willingness to monopolize arms under state authority, creating a rare opportunity to reshape the country’s security and political balances.

Publication Date

10-1-2025

DOI

https://doi.org/10.5038/HSAQ5345

GNSI Decision Brief: Disarming Hezbollah: Challenges and Opportunities in the Pursuit of a Regional Settlement

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