Spread of white-nose syndrome on a network regulated by geography and climate
Files
Download Full Text
Publication Date
12-18-2012
Publication Title
Nature Communications
Volume Number
3
Abstract
Wildlife and plant diseases can reduce biodiversity, disrupt ecosystem services and threaten human health. Emerging pathogens have displayed a variety of spatial spread patterns due to differences in host ecology, including diffusive spread from an epicentre (West Nile virus), jump dispersal on a network (foot-and-mouth disease), or a combination of these (Sudden oak death). White-nose syndrome is a highly pathogenic infectious disease of bats currently spreading across North America. Understanding how bat ecology influences this spread is crucial to management of infected and vulnerable populations. Here we show that white-nose syndrome spread is not diffusive but rather mediated by patchily distributed habitat and large-scale gradients in winter climate. Simulations predict rapid expansion and infection of most counties with caves in the contiguous United States by winter 2105–2106. Our findings show the unique pattern of white-nose syndrome spread corresponds to ecological traits of the host and suggest hypotheses for transmission mechanisms acting at the local scale.
Document Type
Article
Digital Object Identifier (DOI)
https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms2301
Recommended Citation
Maher, Sean P.; Kramer, Andrew M.; Pulliam, Tomlin J.; and Zokan, Marcus A., "Spread of white-nose syndrome on a network regulated by geography and climate" (2012). KIP Articles. 6536.
https://digitalcommons.usf.edu/kip_articles/6536