Probabilistic Approach to Modeling Lava Flow Inundation: A Lava Flow Hazard Assessment for a Nuclear Facility in Armenia

Authors

Laura J. Connor, University of South FloridaFollow
Charles B. Connor, University of South FloridaFollow
Khachatur Meliksetian, Institute of Geological Sciences of Armenian National Academy of Sciences
Ivan Savov, University of Leeds

Document Type

Article

Publication Date

12-2012

Keywords

lava flow simulation, modeling code, probabilistic hazard assessment, spatial density, Monte Carlo method, Armenia

Digital Object Identifier (DOI)

https://doi.org/10.1186/2191-5040-1-3

Abstract

Probabilistic modeling of lava flow hazard is a two-stage process. The first step is an estimation of the possible locations of future eruptive vents followed by an estimation of probable areas of inundation by lava flows issuing from these vents. We present a methodology using this two-stage approach to estimate lava flow hazard at a nuclear power plant site near Aragats, a Quaternary volcano in Armenia.

Comments

Supplementary material at https://doi.org/10.1186/2191-5040-1-3

Rights Information

Terms of use for work posted in Scholar Commons.

Was this content written or created while at USF?

Yes

Citation / Publisher Attribution

Journal of Applied Volcanology, v. 1, art. 3

This article is published under license to BioMed Central Ltd. This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Scholar Commons Citation

Connor, Laura J.; Connor, Charles B.; Meliksetian, Khachatur; and Savov, Ivan, "Probabilistic Approach to Modeling Lava Flow Inundation: A Lava Flow Hazard Assessment for a Nuclear Facility in Armenia" (2012). School of Geosciences Faculty and Staff Publications. 1046.
https://digitalcommons.usf.edu/geo_facpub/1046