Document Type

Article

Publication Date

8-2011

Abstract

The analysis performed in this study is theoretical and uses data found in the open literature rather than actual data for the bridge. The results presented indicate that the bridge is unlikely to meet a service life of an additional 20 years at reliability levels required by prevailing design codes while foregoing routine maintenance. In the light of the lower than typical reliability predicted by the analysis, more frequent bridge inspections will be needed to maintain safety in the event the bridge is repaired. vii The predictions are critically dependent on assumptions relating to the corrosion rate and statistical distributions of the load and the resistance. The validity of these assumptions needs to be verified from appropriate field inspection of the bridge. Without such verification, it will be unwise to base decisions exclusively on the reported theoretical analysis.

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