Document Type

Poster Session

Publication Date

1-21-2026

Abstract

Coastal communities, like Tampa Bay, face growing compound hazards as tidal flooding and extreme temperatures increasingly co-occur. Tidal flooding is shallow, recurring inundation during routine king tides and intensifies in frequency and extent with sea level rise. In some instances, its cumulative impact on infrastructure and daily life can amount to that of a major hurricane over time (Moftakhari et al., 2018).

In Florida, this risk is heightened as king tides, peak temperatures, and hurricane season overlap in late summer and early fall. Zhou et al. (2024) identified flood-heat convergence as a global threat, but their focus on extreme sea levels and coarse resolution miss tidal flooding and local topography. This present study uses high-resolution flood mapping derived from 30 years of local tide gauge records to project future high tide flooding (HTF) frequency under sea level rise (SLR) scenarios and characterize compound flood-heat hazard across Tampa Bay.

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